Boys -
Girls
New Prairie Semi-State
2002
-
2003 -
2004
These are rankings of individuals and teams that feed into this semi-state. It is not a projected order of finish in the race.
Below the rankings is a
projection of this round of the tournament.
Semi-State Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Only teams that advanced out of the regional simulation for each trial were included in the semi-state simulation for that trial.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
School | Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score | Min Score | Max Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
---|
Crown Point |
100.0% |
1.4 |
76 |
20 |
179 |
71.3 |
18.0 |
6.7 |
3.0 |
0.8 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
West Lafayette |
100.0% |
2.6 |
108 |
29 |
238 |
15.6 |
38.7 |
24.9 |
12.4 |
5.5 |
2.0 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Chesterton |
100.0% |
3.3 |
121 |
39 |
223 |
8.0 |
23.5 |
29.0 |
20.5 |
11.1 |
5.1 |
1.6 |
0.9 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Valparaiso |
100.0% |
4.5 |
141 |
43 |
255 |
3.2 |
11.0 |
17.9 |
23.0 |
18.9 |
12.1 |
6.8 |
3.7 |
1.9 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Portage |
100.0% |
5.0 |
150 |
45 |
269 |
1.8 |
6.6 |
13.3 |
20.9 |
21.4 |
15.6 |
9.4 |
5.5 |
3.0 |
1.8 |
0.8 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
LaPorte |
100.0% |
6.0 |
166 |
64 |
287 |
0.2 |
1.8 |
6.5 |
12.6 |
19.8 |
23.0 |
14.5 |
10.3 |
6.4 |
3.4 |
1.2 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Southmont |
100.0% |
7.4 |
188 |
116 |
286 |
|
0.0 |
0.5 |
2.4 |
9.0 |
16.6 |
24.8 |
21.6 |
14.7 |
7.2 |
2.6 |
0.5 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jefferson |
100.0% |
8.0 |
197 |
99 |
314 |
|
0.2 |
0.6 |
2.8 |
6.7 |
11.8 |
17.1 |
19.5 |
18.0 |
13.6 |
7.4 |
1.9 |
0.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lowell |
100.0% |
9.0 |
213 |
119 |
330 |
|
|
0.2 |
0.5 |
2.1 |
5.3 |
11.1 |
15.9 |
21.9 |
23.2 |
14.4 |
4.6 |
0.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lake Central |
100.0% |
9.1 |
214 |
92 |
329 |
|
0.2 |
0.4 |
1.4 |
3.4 |
6.0 |
9.6 |
13.7 |
18.3 |
21.3 |
16.7 |
6.7 |
2.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Penn |
100.0% |
10.2 |
233 |
112 |
353 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.2 |
2.3 |
4.3 |
7.9 |
13.0 |
19.6 |
29.6 |
15.6 |
6.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Harrison (WL) |
100.0% |
11.9 |
267 |
180 |
335 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.6 |
5.8 |
18.0 |
45.4 |
28.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Munster |
100.0% |
12.4 |
282 |
162 |
371 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
3.1 |
8.8 |
25.0 |
61.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Runner | School | Rating | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
Tim Sirbek |
Morton |
16:00 |
100.0% |
1.3 |
43.8 |
22.4 |
12.8 |
7.8 |
4.7 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
Jeff Hoover |
Adams |
16:06 |
100.0% |
2.5 |
20.9 |
20.3 |
16.1 |
12.4 |
8.7 |
6.6 |
4.4 |
3.0 |
2.3 |
1.6 |
1.3 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Zack Schwab |
West Lafayette |
16:11 |
100.0% |
3.8 |
9.9 |
14.1 |
14.9 |
14.1 |
11.7 |
9.3 |
7.1 |
5.5 |
3.8 |
3.0 |
1.8 |
1.6 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
Mike Claeys |
New Prairie |
16:12 |
100.0% |
4.1 |
9.3 |
13.5 |
13.9 |
12.5 |
11.4 |
9.2 |
7.3 |
6.0 |
4.5 |
3.2 |
2.4 |
1.9 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
Grant Fall |
Harrison (WL) |
16:15 |
100.0% |
4.8 |
6.8 |
10.1 |
11.3 |
12.2 |
11.9 |
10.1 |
8.5 |
7.1 |
5.2 |
3.9 |
3.0 |
2.6 |
1.9 |
1.5 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
Dave Santelik |
Crown Point |
16:18 |
100.0% |
5.7 |
4.0 |
7.0 |
9.6 |
10.4 |
11.3 |
10.6 |
9.3 |
7.9 |
7.0 |
5.2 |
4.1 |
3.2 |
2.6 |
2.0 |
1.8 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
Max Goldak |
Chesterton |
16:19 |
100.0% |
6.2 |
3.0 |
5.9 |
8.1 |
9.7 |
10.6 |
10.3 |
10.3 |
8.5 |
6.8 |
5.8 |
4.8 |
3.6 |
2.7 |
2.2 |
1.7 |
1.5 |
1.1 |
0.9 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
Chris Sering |
Southmont |
16:23 |
100.0% |
7.9 |
1.3 |
3.5 |
5.2 |
7.0 |
7.6 |
8.9 |
8.8 |
9.0 |
7.9 |
7.2 |
5.9 |
5.4 |
4.7 |
3.3 |
3.0 |
2.5 |
1.9 |
1.7 |
1.2 |
0.7 |
Adam Martin |
Chesterton |
16:27 |
100.0% |
10.1 |
0.4 |
1.1 |
2.3 |
3.3 |
4.8 |
5.8 |
6.9 |
8.2 |
8.4 |
8.0 |
7.3 |
6.5 |
6.2 |
4.5 |
4.2 |
4.0 |
3.3 |
2.7 |
2.2 |
1.8 |
Joe Rayman |
West Lafayette |
16:29 |
100.0% |
10.8 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.6 |
2.8 |
3.7 |
5.9 |
6.9 |
7.3 |
7.5 |
7.7 |
7.0 |
6.1 |
6.3 |
5.1 |
5.0 |
4.4 |
4.0 |
2.9 |
2.6 |
2.5 |
Derek Bede |
LaPorte |
16:32 |
100.0% |
12.3 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.3 |
1.9 |
3.1 |
4.3 |
4.9 |
5.4 |
6.4 |
6.3 |
6.6 |
6.8 |
6.4 |
6.2 |
5.4 |
4.9 |
4.2 |
3.8 |
3.4 |
2.8 |
Craig Locker |
Jefferson |
16:36 |
100.0% |
14.9 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
3.4 |
4.1 |
4.6 |
5.6 |
5.5 |
5.6 |
5.4 |
5.4 |
5.5 |
5.2 |
4.9 |
4.7 |
4.6 |
3.6 |
Michael Trybula |
Crown Point |
16:36 |
100.0% |
14.8 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
3.7 |
3.9 |
4.5 |
5.0 |
5.3 |
5.9 |
6.2 |
6.2 |
5.7 |
5.9 |
5.4 |
5.1 |
4.6 |
4.1 |
Scott Rutledge |
Southmont |
16:36 |
100.0% |
15.3 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.4 |
2.0 |
2.6 |
3.7 |
4.2 |
4.9 |
5.8 |
5.7 |
6.0 |
5.5 |
5.8 |
5.3 |
5.4 |
4.6 |
4.5 |
4.5 |
Ryan Hall |
Highland |
16:38 |
99.5% |
16.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
2.2 |
3.1 |
3.7 |
4.6 |
4.5 |
5.1 |
5.2 |
5.5 |
5.3 |
5.0 |
5.3 |
5.2 |
4.7 |
4.4 |
Victor DelToro |
East Chicago Central |
16:38 |
99.5% |
16.3 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.7 |
2.2 |
3.0 |
3.7 |
4.4 |
5.1 |
4.6 |
5.2 |
5.5 |
5.1 |
5.7 |
5.0 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.5 |
Jason Willis |
Portage |
16:39 |
100.0% |
17.2 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
2.0 |
2.4 |
3.3 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
5.6 |
5.3 |
4.9 |
4.7 |
5.3 |
4.8 |
4.9 |
Robert Jabaay |
Kankakee Valley |
16:39 |
100.0% |
17.5 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
1.8 |
2.6 |
3.3 |
3.6 |
4.0 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
5.2 |
4.7 |
5.2 |
5.3 |
5.1 |
4.7 |
4.6 |
Ben Sundy |
Valparaiso |
16:42 |
100.0% |
18.9 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
2.1 |
2.6 |
3.6 |
3.9 |
4.1 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
4.8 |
4.8 |
5.2 |
5.3 |
4.8 |
Keith Ludwig |
LaPorte |
16:42 |
100.0% |
19.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
2.1 |
2.4 |
3.6 |
3.9 |
4.3 |
4.6 |
5.0 |
4.8 |
5.4 |
4.9 |
4.9 |
4.8 |
Steve Smith |
Lowell |
16:44 |
100.0% |
21.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
2.1 |
2.4 |
2.8 |
3.5 |
3.8 |
3.7 |
4.2 |
4.2 |
4.4 |
4.8 |
4.9 |
Kyle Spicer |
Lowell |
16:45 |
100.0% |
21.4 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
2.3 |
2.8 |
3.0 |
3.6 |
3.7 |
4.1 |
4.5 |
4.5 |
4.4 |
4.5 |